NB: Not something from The Onion nor our pals at TDB.
‘In the 1700s it was normal to go to war to expand your country’s territory. This strategy has passed its sell by date. But, demands for democracy may be suppressed with violence and result in more violence in the short term. As in Libya.’
His research has found there has been a decrease in armed conflicts and the number of people killed since World War II and this trend will continue.
‘War has become less acceptable, just like duelling, torture and the death penalty.’
I’ll leave it to you to read further at the link if this resonates. Keeping in mind that the article uses excerpts of a scholarly paper I haven’t read I still found the snippets interesting. Before you closet neo-hippies begin partying you should note the disappointment:
‘Prior to the Arabian spring, we expected 5 per cent of the countries in the world to be involved in a conflict in 2050. This percentage has now risen to 7 per cent.
‘The conflicts in the Middle East weaken the clear correlation between socio-economic development and the absence of civil war. The conflicts in Syria and Libya show that we also have to include democratisation processes in the model.
‘To achieve this, we are now working on projecting democratic systems of government and regime changes,’ explains Prof Hegre
Rats… reality bites don’t it?
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